Capitol Alert

The latest on California politics and government

VIDEO: Dan Walters looks at what makes candidates tough on crime.

The trend line has flipped on the anti-death penalty measure, Proposition 34, according to the latest Field Poll.

Last month, 45 percent of likely voters said they would vote no on abolishing the death penalty in the state. In the current survey's first interviews, the two sides were running about even. But in its second wave of interviews, support had pulled ahead, 45 percent to 38 percent.

The current survey also found that 48 percent of the likely voters who have already cast their ballots say they voted for the measure. Another 42 percent voted no, while the rest didn't disclose their vote. Meanwhile, 17 percent of all likely voters say they're still undecided on the issue.

Meanwhile, opposition to Proposition 32 on payroll deductions is growing in the campaign's final weeks. In the current survey's second wave of interviews, 50 percent of likely voters said they would vote no. Among those who say they've already voted, the no side polled even higher, at 58 percent.

Jon Ortiz has more details on the Proposition 32 poll in today's Bee, while Sam Stanton looks at the trends on Proposition 34 in a separate story.

If you want even more numbers, click here to read the statistical tabulations compiled exclusively for Capitol Alert and The Bee. The publicly released poll is at this link.

We'll have to wait until Saturday for our next Field Poll fix. That survey will look at the presidential and U.S. Senate races. Then Tuesday, the poll will estimate California voter turnout in the general election.

Last minute campaign events include a No on Prop. 34 presser today featuring the county District Attorney Jan Scully and Sheriff Scott Jones, as well as Michael Rushford of the Criminal Justice Legal Foundation and Sandy Friend, whose child was murdered. That event starts at 10:30 a.m. at the Sacramento County Deputy Sheriffs Association office, 1700 I St., Suite 100.

Gov. Jerry Brown, meanwhile, talks up Proposition 30 at a luncheon discussion with Virgin America CEO David Cush and Netflix CEO Reed Hastings at the Silicon Valley Leadership Group's annual public policy luncheon. Barbara Marshman, the editorial page editor of the San Jose Mercury News, will moderate the event at the Santa Clara Convention Center. Click here for more information.

Today's also the day that the Secretary of State's Office releases official numbers on California's registered voters. How high will they go?

CAPITOL STEPS: McClatchy High School students and others are organizing a rally on the west steps at 1:30 p.m. to protest potential trigger cuts if voters reject Proposition 30, and Planned Parenthood advocates from Mar Monte are bringing their big pink bus to Sacramento for a rally on the west steps at 5:30 p.m. Listed speakers for the second event include Insurance Commissioner Dave Jones.

CAP CITY: Rep. Doris Matsui and Assemblyman Roger Dickinson, both Sacramento Democrats, are among the officials slated to speak at the opening of the first phase of the multimodal transit station at the Sacramento rail yards site. The event starts at 10:30 a.m. behind the Sacramento Valley Station at 5th and I streets.

GOTV: Democrat Ami Bera, who is challenging GOP Rep. Dan Lungren, is scheduled to talk to supporters and volunteers at 1 p.m. Saturday at the California Democratic Party Office, 4132 Manzanita Ave., in Carmichael before they head out to canvass door to door. Labor union representatives also rally at 9:45 a.m. Saturday at the Sacramento Labor Council, 2840 El Centro Road, and conduct a phone bank at 11 a.m. at the Sacramento City Teachers Association, 5300 Elvas Ave.



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