The headlines on the Field Poll story today were alll about "voters" opposing the May 19 ballot measures, but the real story is in the partisan split.
Democrats and independents favor the most of the package, especially its most importance piece, Proposition 1A. But Republicans are opposed and their position is dragging it down in the overall poll.
On Prop 1A, 52 percent of Democrats said they woudl vote yes, and 37 percent were opposed. Among indpendent and minor party voters, the measure led 47 percen tto 40 percent. But Republicans hate it. Only 24 percent said they would vote yes, while 65 percent are opposed.
Part of this is probably due to the fact that Republicans, out of power in Washington and in the California Legislature, are generally down on anything the government is doing. But a big part of it is also no doubt due to the fact that Prop 1A has been pummelled by partisans for extending the temporary taxes in the budget package for two years.
The irony is that the linkage between the spending limit in 1A and the tax hikes was a Republican strategy. They wanted to tie the two so that Democrats and their allies would not go after the spending limit. Now it appears that it is the Republicans, not the Democrats, who are most likely to bring it down.
The campaign from here on out will be a contest between Republican leaders trying to woo back some of their party faithful to vote in favor of 1A as Democratic-leaning unions try to peel back some of their party's support for the measure. Should be fun.
See the full poll here.